Eventus

Global regulatory coverage for prediction markets

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Surveillance built for outcome-driven markets

Prediction markets link trading activity directly to real-world events – demanding surveillance that understands timing, influence and intent.

Fair Access to Information

Ensure markets remain credible when information itself drives value. Identify trading patterns that suggest insider knowledge, undue influence, or misuse of event-related data.

Orderly Event-Based Trading

Maintain stability in markets where prices react instantly to real-world developments. Detect disruptive behavior tied to timing, coordination, and sudden information shocks.

Confidence in Market Resolution

Reinforce trust in how prediction markets conclude by monitoring activity before and after outcomes are determined – supporting transparent review and defensible oversight.

Key Benefits for Prediction Markets

Context-Rich Surveillance

Understand trading behavior in relation to real-world events. Event-aware views help teams quickly interpret activity around announcements, outcomes and market-moving moments.

Faster Clearer Investigations

Reduce the time and effort required to review complex cases. Event-driven timelines and behavioral patterns provide analysts with the context needed to move efficiently from alert to conclusion.

Operational Efficiency at Scale

Support growing participation and sharp volume swings without overwhelming surveillance teams. Eventus helps manage complexity without proportional increases in manual review.

Credible, Defensible Oversight

Maintain transparent, auditable oversight as prediction markets face increased scrutiny. Clear monitoring and investigation workflows support internal governance and external review.

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Event-based surveillance for prediction markets

A fast-growing prediction market operator required surveillance built for event-based contracts, social-driven order flow and sharp volume swings around news catalysts. Traditional rules misidentified legitimate positioning as manipulation and lacked the context needed to interpret binary and categorical market structures. 

Eventus delivered event-aware surveillance that enabled confident review of high-velocity retail activity and supported a defensible approach as the operator pursued expanded licensing.

News & Views

The Validus Platform

A comprehensive, multi-asset class platform designed to maximize the efficiency of your regulatory operations

Validus Features

Workflow management with custom tagging, escalations, and continuity across alert dispositions.

Reduce false positives and focus on actionable alerts with Automation and supervised machine learning.

Investigative tools and rich visualizations display order lifecycle and market data for alert insights and quick resolution.

150+ procedures based on our expertise and customer insights, plus the ability to personalize any procedure.

Centralized reporting interface (Compliance Home) showcasing all preferred and custom reports.

Interoperability with third-party data for comprehensive coverage across capital markets datasets.

Full service, efficient methodology to import and update your data in any format.

Review of financial limits and written supervisory procedures, and real-time monitoring of algorithmic trading.

Discover Validus in action